Excited to have our co-founder and Chief Innovation Officer Justin Fitzpatrick featured as a guest author on the Michael Kitces blog.
“Financial advisors often seek to help clients understand the range of outcomes they might experience when following a given financial plan, and frequently rely on statistical probability outcomes derived from Monte Carlo simulations to report on what outcomes the future may hold. In turn, some researchers and practitioners have suggested extending the analysis even further, by accounting for related statistics, such as Magnitude of Failure and Expected Failure, to shore up the weaknesses of Probability of Failure and further enrich the breadth of information that prospective retirees have when considering the best plan to pursue. However, a focus on ever-deepening statistics alone ignores other important aspects of how retirees perceive risk.”
